im Konferenzraum II, Henry Ford Bau, Garystr. 35, 14195 Berlin
at Conference Room II of the Henry Ford Building, Garystr. 35, 14195 Berlin
Talk on "Renewable Energy Futures to 2050: Current Thinking" by Dr. Eric Martinot
who is an internationally recognized scholar, writer, and teacher on the subject of renewable energy.
The REN21 Renewables Global Futures Report provides a pioneering synthesis
of the full range of credible possibilities for the future of renewable energy.
The report is not one scenario or viewpoint, but captures the contemporary
thinking of 170 leading experts from around the world, including CEOs and
parliamentarians, as expressed in face-to-face interviews with the report author.
The report also incorporates the results of 50 recently published and prominent
energy scenarios by a range of organizations. Conservative projections show
15-20% global energy shares from renewables in the long-term to 2030 and
2050, about the same as the current share. High-renewables projections show
shares in the 50-95% range. A range of integration options for electric power
grids, buildings, industry, and transport are possible. Annual investment in
renewable energy rose from $40 billion in 2004 to over $260 billion today,
and several projections reach to $500 billion by 2020 and beyond, from new
sources of finance. Strong future growth in national markets is projected from a
range of policies and targets, with cases for the US, EU, Japan, China, and India.
Projections for global technology markets show cost reductions, technology
evolution possibilities, and multi-fold capacity increases.
Dr. Eric Martinot is report author of the just-released REN21 Renewables Global Futures Report, and was lead author until 2010 of the REN21 Renewables Global Status Report, an annual synthesis that he first created in 2005. He maintains research affiliations with the Worldwatch Institute and the Chinese Renewable Energy Industries Association, and is an editorial board member for the journal Energy Policy. He has been a senior visiting scholar at Tsinghua University, senior energy specialist with the World Bank, renewable energy program manager with the Global Environment Facility, and adjunct professor of public policy at the University of Maryland. He holds a Ph.D. in Energy and Resources from the University of California at Berkeley and a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from MIT.