Should I stay or should I go? State Exits from Regional Organizations
Funding: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG)
Project Leadership: Prof. Dr. Diana Panke
Research Assistants: Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi
Student Assistants: Léonie Berton, Antonia Damm, Tim Rauschenberger, Mirjam Schellinger, Martin Stoll, Tim Vent
Abstract
The withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union (EU) recently made headlines and attracted a lot of public and academic attention. BREXIT is not the only case in which a member state has left a regional organization (RO). Between 1945 and 2022, there were 55 withdrawals from ROs. Analyzing these withdrawals is important because departures can affect international cooperation and potentially lead to further disintegration, which could also challenge the current multilateral world order.
Not all states are equally inclined to leave ROs. In fact, exits from ROs are mainly driven by smaller states. While some ROs experienced multiple exits (e.g. Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa), others experienced only one exit (e.g. the EU) and still others never lost members (e.g. MERCOSUR). Important findings on state withdrawals from international organizations (IOs) do not apply to ROs. Therefore, we do not yet know why states leave ROs and why some ROs are more affected by exits than others, although understanding exits is of great importance to society and academia alike.
This project therefore aims to uncover the reasons for the phenomenon of state exits from ROs by answering the following research questions:
- Why are some states more prone to leave ROs than others?
- Why are some ROs more prone to state exits than others?
Journal articles (with peer review)
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2025): Exit from Regime Complexity? Regional International Organizations Under Scrutiny. Global Studies Quarterly, 5(1), ksae078.
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (forthcoming): Between Crisis and Revival: Withdrawal Threats, State Exits, and Institutional Change of Regional International Organizations, Politische Vierteljahresschrift.
Chapters in edited volumes
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (forthcoming): Regional Organisations, Exit Threats, and Contestations of Community Norms. In: Flavia Lucenti, Cecilia Ducci, Carmen Wunderlich, Jeffrey S. Lantis (Hg.) Contestation in Prism: The Evolution of Norms and Norm Clusters in Contemporary Global Politics. London: Springer.
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld (2024): Epilogue—Responses to Brexit: insights from small EU member states and lessons for exits from other regional organizations. In: Laura C. Ferreira-Pereira (Hg.) Small States of the European Union and Brexit. Abingdon: Routledge, 107-111.
Conference contributions
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2024). Cooperation or Obstruction? International Organizations and Suspensions of Member States under Regime Complexity. Papier vorgestellt auf der 65. Annual Convention der ISA, April 2024, San Francisco.
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2024). Watch, Learn, and Influence? Examining the Role of Observers in International Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der Jahrestagung der International Studies Association, April 2024, San Francisco.
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2024). Resilience or Decline? Contestations of Community Norms in Regional International Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der Jahrestagung der International Studies Association, April 2024, San Francisco.
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2024). Observers in International Organisations: Causes, Driving Forces and Motivations. Papier vorgestellt auf der Early Career Tagung Internationale Beziehungen der DVPW, März 2024, Tutzing
- Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023). After the Pink Tide Ended: How Right-Wing Governments Challenge Left-Leaning Regional International Organizations in Latin America. Papier vorgestellt beim Kick-Off Workshop des ERC-Projekts ‘The Far Right and International Organizations’, November 2023, Frankfurt a.M.
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Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023). Observers in (Regional) International Organisations: Architects of Inter-Organisational Cooperation?. Papier vorgestellt auf der Jahrestagung der Themengruppe Internationale Organisation der DVPW, November 2023, Jena.
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Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023). 'Tomorrow I’ll Be Gone': Exit Threats as Contestations of Regional Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der 16. Pan-European Conference on International Relations der EISA, September 2023, Potsdam.
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Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023). Beitrag zum Roundtable: Contestation in Prism: Patterns of Norm Evolution, Consolidation, and Decay. Papier vorgestellt bei der 16. Pan-European Conference on International Relations der EISA, September 2023, Potsdam.
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Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023). Time to Leave! Studying State Exits from Regional International Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der Offenen Sektionstagung Internationale Beziehungen der DVWP, Juni 2023, Friedrichshafen.
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Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023). Between Crisis and Revival: The Effects of State Exits on Regional Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der Jahrestagung des Arbeitskreises Europa- und Regionalismusforschung der DVPW, Mai 2023, Saarbrücken.
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Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023): Ending Cooperation. A Comparative Analysis of State Exits from Regional International Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der 18. Biennial Conference of the European Union Studies Association’s, Pittsburgh, Mai 2023.
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Diana Panke (2023): Populist and Nationalist Challenges All the Way? Why Member States Withdraw from Regional Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der 18. Biennial Conference of the European Union Studies Association’s, Pittsburgh, Mai 2023.
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Diana Panke, Lukas Grundsfeld, Pawel Tverskoi (2023): Ending Cooperation: A Comparative Analysis of State Exits from Regional International Organizations. Papier vorgestellt auf der 64. Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Montréal, März 2023.