Arndt Leininger, Ph.D.


Otto Suhr Institute for Political Science

Center for Political Sociology of Germany


Ihnestraße 21
Room 101
14195 Berlin

Office hours

Wednesdays from 11 AM to 12 PM or by individual appointment. Please always register via E-Mail for an appointment.

During the winter holidays the consultation hour will take place as usual.

Academic career

  • 2016-2018 Research assistant at the Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz
  • 2012-2017 PhD in Governance, Hertie School of Governance Topic: Direct Democracy and Representative Government
    Committee: Prof. Mark A. Kayser, PhD (Hertie School), Prof. Simon Hug, PhD (Université de Genève), Prof. Dr. Bernhard Weßels (HU Berlin / WZB)

  • 2011-2012 MSc in Political Science and Political Economy (London School of Economics and Political Science)

  • 2008-2011 BA in Political Science (Freie Universität Berlin)


  • 2013-2016 Heinrich Böll Foundation PhD scholarship

  • 2011 PROMOS for the participation at the ECPR summer school in Ljubljana, awarded by Freie Universität Berlin and DAAD

  • 2009 - 2013 Heinrich Böll Foundation Study Scholarship

  • Comparative Political Science

  • Direct Democracy

  • Election Studies

  • Applied Quantitative Methods

  • Landwehr, Claudia and Arndt Leininger (2019): “Instrumental or procedural democrats? The evolution of procedural preferences after democratization”, in: Political Research Exchange, 1(1).

  • Leininger, Arndt (2019) "Economic Voting in Direct Democracy: A Case Study of the 2016 Italian Constitutional Referendum" , Politics and Governance, 7(2), pp. 306-333

  • Leininger, Arndt (2018): “Forecasting”, In: Claudius Wagemann, Achim Goerres and Markus Siewert (Hrsg.) Handbuch Methoden der Politikwissenschaft, Wiesbaden: VS Springer.

  • Leininger, Arndt, Lukas Rudolph and Steffen Zittlau (2018) "How to increase turnout in low salience elections. Quasi-experimental evidence on the effect of simultaneous second-order elections on political participation", Political Science Research and Methods, 6(3), pp. 509-526.

  • Haußner, Stefan and Arndt Leininger (2018) "Die Erfolge der AfD und die Wahlbeteiligung: Gibt es einen Zusammenhang?“ in: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 49(1), pp. 69-90

  • Kayser, Mark and Arndt Leininger (2017) "A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election'' in: PS: Political Science & Politics, 50(3), pp. 689-692.

  • Leininger, Arndt and Lea Heyne (2017) "How representative are Referendums? Evidence from 20 years of Swiss referendums", Electoral Studies, 48, pp. 84-97.

  • Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2016) "A Predictive Test of Voters' Economic Benchmarking: The 2013 German Bundestag Election", German Politics, 25(1), pp. 106-130.

  • Leininger, Arndt (2015) "Wissenschaftliche Wahlprognosen - Alternative oder Ergänzung zu Umfragen?" in: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 46(4), pp. 675-691.

  • Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2015) "Vintage Errors: Do Real-Time Economic Data Improve Election Forecasts?", Research and Politics, 2(3).

  • Leininger, Arndt (2015) "Direct Democracy in Europe: Potentials and Pitfalls", Global Policy, 6(S1), pp. 17-27.

Debatte Dahlem
unter 3 - Der Phoenix-Politik-Podcast mit Thorsten Faas und Erhard Scherfer