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at Conference Room II of the Henry Ford Building, Garystr. 35, 14195 Berlin
Talk on "Renewable Energy Futures to 2050: Current Thinking" by Dr. Eric Martinot who is an internationally recognized scholar, writer, and teacher on the subject of renewable energy.
The REN21 Renewables Global Futures Report provides a pioneering synthesis
of the full range of credible possibilities for the future of renewable energy.
The report is not one scenario or viewpoint, but captures the contemporary
thinking of 170 leading experts from around the world, including CEOs and
parliamentarians, as expressed in face-to-face interviews with the report author.
The report also incorporates the results of 50 recently published and prominent
energy scenarios by a range of organizations. Conservative projections show
15-20% global energy shares from renewables in the long-term to 2030 and
2050, about the same as the current share. High-renewables projections show
shares in the 50-95% range. A range of integration options for electric power
grids, buildings, industry, and transport are possible. Annual investment in
renewable energy rose from $40 billion in 2004 to over $260 billion today,
and several projections reach to $500 billion by 2020 and beyond, from new
sources of finance. Strong future growth in national markets is projected from a
range of policies and targets, with cases for the US, EU, Japan, China, and India.
Projections for global technology markets show cost reductions, technology
evolution possibilities, and multi-fold capacity increases.
Dr. Eric Martinot is an internationally recognized scholar, writer, and teacher
on the subject of renewable energy. He is report author of the just-released
REN21 Renewables Global Futures Report, and was lead author until 2010
of the REN21 Renewables Global Status Report, an annual synthesis that he
first created in 2005. He currently serves as senior research director with the
Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies in Tokyo and teaching fellow with
Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand. He also maintains research
affiliations with the Worldwatch Institute and the Chinese Renewable Energy
Industries Association, and is an editorial board member for the journal Energy
Policy. He lived in Beijing for three years as senior visiting scholar at Tsinghua
University, and was formerly a senior energy specialist with the World Bank,
renewable energy program manager with the Global Environment Facility, and
adjunct professor of public policy at the University of Maryland. He has written
70 publications on renewable and sustainable energy since 1990, and holds a
Ph.D. in Energy and Resources from the University of California at Berkeley and a
B.S. in Electrical Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.