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Arndt Leininger, Ph.D.


Otto Suhr Institute of Political Science

Center for Political Sociology of Germany


Ihnestraße 21
Room 101
14195 Berlin

Academic career

  • since October 2020 Research assistant at the Otto Suhr Institute of Political Science, Center for Political Sociology of Germany, Freie Universität Berlin

  • April - September 2020 Interim professorship at the University of Konstanz
  • 2018-2020 Research assistant at the Otto Suhr Institute of Political Science, Center for Political Sociology of Germany, Freie Universität Berlin

  • 2016-2018 Research assistant at the Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz

  • 2012-2017 PhD in Governance, Hertie School of Governance Topic: Direct Democracy and Representative Government
    Committee: Prof. Mark A. Kayser, PhD (Hertie School), Prof. Simon Hug, PhD (Université de Genève), Prof. Dr. Bernhard Weßels (HU Berlin / WZB)

  • 2011-2012 MSc in Political Science and Political Economy (London School of Economics and Political Science)

  • 2008-2011 BA in Political Science (Freie Universität Berlin)


  • 2013-2016 Heinrich Böll Foundation PhD scholarship
  • 2011 PROMOS for the participation at the ECPR summer school in Ljubljana, awarded by Freie Universität Berlin and DAAD
  • 2009 - 2013 Heinrich Böll Foundation Study Scholarship
  • Comparative Political Science

  • Direct Democracy

  • Election Studies

  • Applied Quantitative Methods

Journal Articles with Peer Review

  • Leininger, Arndt and Maurits Meijers (forthcoming) “Do Populist Parties Increase Turnout? Evidence from over 40 Years of Electoral History in 31 European Democracies”, Political Studies.
  • Landwehr, Claudia and Arndt Leininger (2019): “Instrumental or Procedural Democrats? The Evolution of Procedural Preferences after Democratization”, in: Political Research Exchange, 1(1).
  • Leininger, Arndt (2019) "Is There an Economic Vote in Referendums: The Case of the 2016 Italian Constitutional Referendum", Politics and Governance, 7(2), pp. 306-333.
  • Leininger, Arndt, Lukas Rudolph and Steffen Zittlau (2018) “How to Increase Turnout in Low Salience Elections. Quasi-Experimental Evidence on the Effect of Simultaneous Second-Order Elections on Political Participation”, Political Science Research and Methods, 6(3), pp. 509-526.
  • Leininger, Arndt and Mark A. Kayser (2017) “Eine länderbasierte Prognose zur Bundestagswahl 2017”, Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 58(3), pp. 407-417.
  • Leininger, Arndt and Lea Heyne (2017) “How Representative are Referendums? Evidence from 20 Years of Swiss Referendums”, Electoral Studies, 48, pp. 84-97.
  • Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2016) “A Predictive Test of Voters’ Economic Benchmarking: The 2013 German Bundestag Election”, German Politics, 25(1), pp. 106-130.
  • Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2015) "Vintage Errors: Do Real-Time Economic Data Improve Election Forecasts?", Research and Politics, 2(3).

Articles in Other Professional Journals

  • Haußner, Stefan and Arndt Leininger (2018) "Die Erfolge der AfD und die Wahlbeteiligung: Gibt es einen Zusammenhang?“ in: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 49(1), pp. 69-90.
  • Kayser, Mark and Arndt Leininger (2017) "A Länder-Based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election'' in: PS: Political Science & Politics, 50(3), pp. 689-692.
  • Leininger, Arndt (2015) "Wissenschaftliche Wahlprognosen - Alternative oder Ergänzung zu Umfragen?" in: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 46(4), pp. 675-691.
  • Leininger, Arndt (2015) "Direct Democracy in Europe: Potentials and Pitfalls", Global Policy, 6(S1), pp. 17-27.

Chapters in Edited Volumes

  • Leininger, Arndt and Thorsten Faas (2020) “Votes at 16 in Germany: Examining Sub-National Variation”, In: Jan Eichhorn and Johannes Bergh (Ed.) “Lowering the Voting Age to 16 - Learning from Real Experiences Worldwide”, Palgrave.
  • Faas, Thorsten and Arndt Leininger (2020) “Issue Voting und Economic Voting”, In: Thorsten Faas, Oscar W. Gabriel and Jürgen Maier (Ed.) “Handbuch der politikwissenschaftlichen Einstellungs- und Verhaltensforschung”, Nomos.
  • Leininger, Arndt (2018): “Forecasting”, In: Claudius Wagemann, Achim Goerres and Markus Siewert (Hrsg.) "Handbuch Methoden der Politikwissenschaft", Wiesbaden: VS Springer.

Book Reviews

  • Leininger, Arndt (2020) “Book Review: Voters & Voting in Context: Multiple Contexts and the Heterogeneous German Electorate” in: Party Politics, online first.